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President Donald Trump and Democratic Nominee Joe Biden face off in a heated final US 2020 Presidential Debate ahead of the election on November 3rd....
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President Donald Trump and Democratic Nominee Joe Biden face off in a heated final US 2020 Presidential Debate ahead of the election on November 3rd.
Who will win – Joe Biden, or Donald Trump? Picture: Jim Watson and Saul Loeb, AFPSource:AFP
The US election is fast approaching – and as November 3 draws nearer, millions of eyes have turned to betting agencies for clues as to who will win.
While bookmakers are always at the centre of attention in the lead up to elections and major sporting matches, speculation has reached a fever pitch this time after the polls sensationally tipped a landslide Hillary Clinton victory in 2016 – only for Donald Trump to ultimate claim the top job.
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In 2020, many are seeking an alternative way of predicting the possible outcome – so here’s everything you need to know about betting on the 2020 US election.
WHAT ARE THE ODDS?
At the moment, Democratic hopeful Joe Biden is the clear favourite across the major betting sites.
In the final days before the election, Mr Biden’s odds have shortened slightly with Betfair having him at $1.45 to win.
While his edge is narrowing, many believe betting odds offer a more accurate election prediction than polls, as people have invested their own hard-earned cash in the outcome.
According to the 2020 Presidential Election Betting Odds Tracker at OddsShark, Donald Trump was the favourite back in July 2019 – but now, “Biden is a -185 favourite to win the 2020 US presidential election, with Trump coming back at +140”.
These are the odds according to some of the major betting agencies, as of October 28.
Basically, it means for every $1 you put on that candidate you would get the below in return if they won.
• Biden: $1.61
• Trump: $2.35
LADBROKES
• Biden: $1.50
• Trump: $2.70
• Biden: $1.45
• Trump: $2.96
• Biden: $1.50
• Trump: $2.75
• Biden: $1.50
• Trump: $2.70
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Joe Biden is the clear favourite – but bookies got it wrong last time around when they predicted a Clinton win. Picture: David Gannon/AFPSource:AFP
DIFFERENT BETS YOU CAN MAKE
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All eyes are on the big one – whether it will be Joe Biden or Donald Trump in the White House for the next four years.
But there are also a string of other bets on the table.
For example, bets are also being taken on the number of electoral college votes each candidate will receive, who will win the popular vote, the state electoral college winner, the state margin, seat margin, US Senate winner and many more.
For example, Mr Trump is paying $4.50 to win the popular vote compared to Mr Biden’s $1.18 (the candidate to get the most votes across America).
In 2016, Ms Clinton won the popular vote but still lost the election.
ODDS BEFORE 2016 ELECTION
When Donald Trump took on Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election, it wasn’t just the pollsters that got the outcome disastrously wrong – the betting sites also incorrectly predicted a Clinton victory.
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In fact, Irish bookmaker Paddy Power failed so spectacularly it ended up with a £4 million ($A7,399,793) bill after prematurely paying out £800,000 $A1,479,958) to those who had backed Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump’s shock win.
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According to OddsShark, Mr Trump’s odds to win the 2016 election were close to 5-to-1 on election day eve.
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Punters can bet on the ultimate winner as well as a sting of side bets. Picture: Kamil Krzaczynski/AFPSource:AFP
HOW TO BET
Betting on political elections is very much illegal in all 50 states in the US.
However, the same rules don’t apply in other countries, which means betting agencies based in Australia, the UK and other nations are open for business, with most companies allowing punters to place a bet online.
According to Fortune, gambling insiders are expecting the previous record set in 2016 to be broken again this year, with some bookies expecting the election to be even bigger than the Super Bowl where betting in concerned.
Friday’s nightcap on the NBA schedule is a premier, nationally televised game you don’t want to miss. The Boston Celtics continue their road trip with a stop in Los Angeles to face the Clippers, and if you’re looking to do some last-minute betting research, you’re in luck! We’ll give you the latest point spread, moneyline odds and over-under number, as well as the information you’ll need to make the smartest bet on BetMGM.
The game tips off at 10 p.m. ET and can be seen on ESPN.
The Celtics (11-9) are midway through a brutal stretch of the schedule, and have dropped three of their last four games with dates against the Clippers, Suns and Jazz yet to come before a return home to Boston. The Clippers (17-6), meanwhile, have been one of the best teams in the NBA over the last month, winning 11 of 13 – and perhaps more impressively, going 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games.
Patrick Beverley is out for the Clippers, while the Celtics will be missing Marcus Smart and Romeo Langford. Payton Pritchard (MCL sprain) and Jaylen Brown (left knee soreness) are listed as questionable for Boston.
The lines, courtesy of BetMGM
Point spread: Clippers -6.5Money line: Clippers -275 / Celtics +220Over-under: 219.5Place your legal, online sports bets in VA, CO, IA, IN, NJ, PA, TN and WV at BetMGM.
Advice and prediction
The Celtics are certainly good enough to cover this spread with a solid performance, but it’s hard to bet against the Clippers in their current form. They’re 8-3 against the spread recently despite just returning from a long road trip, boast a top-3 offense, and rank fourth in the league in adjusted net rating, far ahead of the Celtics in 14th. Take the Celtics -6.5, and consider doubling up with a -3.5 first half bet.
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I also like Over 219.5 on Friday. The over has hit in four of the last five Clippers game. The Clippers have the most efficient offense in the NBA, they make 15 threes a game, and they’ll force the Celtics to score if they hope to keep the game close. Barring a Clippers blowout, I think the over hits comfortably.
Prediction: Clippers 119, Celtics 109
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